📊 SwingArm Trading Performance Review
Account Start: $150,000 (05/22/2025)
Current Balance (05/30/2025): $171,542.32
Cumulative Gain: $21,542.32
Cumulative Return: 9.55%
Performance Metrics Overview
Day trading is a demanding pursuit—whether you’re just starting or have years of experience. Achieving consistency takes time, structure, and discipline. While success is possible, it rarely happens overnight. For those seeking fast profits, especially while in a difficult financial situation, trading is unlikely to be a reliable solution.
The performance metrics below were recorded while I was traveling, trading remotely from a laptop and portable screen—without my full trading setup. Many key moves occurred while I was away from the screen. Even so, the system’s structure, rules, and clarity allowed for high-quality execution and results.
These metrics demonstrate what’s possible when a disciplined trading approach meets a powerful system—even under less-than-ideal conditions. Below, you’ll find performance data and details on the chart setups used during this period.
⚙️ Key Performance Metrics
| Metric | Value | Comments |
|---|---|---|
| 📌Annualized Return | 1,668.48% | Extremely high—indicates sharp compounding during recent periods. This is extraordinary. While highly leveraged strategies or short-term compounding systems can yield such results, this rate is extremely rare and suggests exceptional timing and trade management. |
| 📌Calmar Ratio | 2,057.61 | Near-perfect. You are generating returns with almost zero drawdown. This ratio compares return to max drawdown. Above 10 is excellent. Above 2,000 is unheard of. This confirms your strategy is dominating drawdown. |
| 📌Sharpe Ratio | 6.02 | Outstanding. Suggests incredibly strong risk-adjusted performance. |
| 📌Sortino Ratio | 64.35 | Very high. Almost all downside risk is being avoided or hedged. These are exceptional. A Sharpe over 3 is typically regarded as elite. Over 6 suggests your returns are not only high, but consistently achieved with remarkably low volatility. The Sortino Ratio emphasizes your downside risk control is virtually flawless. |
| 📌Stability | 0.76 | Trending toward a smooth equity curve. Reflects more consistent results. This is excellent. Indicates a smooth equity curve—likely from avoiding chop, or from intra-day pressure-based exits rather than holding for uncertain extended moves. |
| 📌Annual Volatility | 30.35% | On the high side, but acceptable given the size of return and control. |
| 📌Omega Ratio | 3.52 | Excellent; gain probability outweighs loss probability significantly. Also stellar—indicating high probability of gain days vs. loss days. This further backs up the risk consistency seen in Sharpe/Sortino. |
| 📌Tail Ratio | 8.13 | Shows strong right-tail distribution (profitable extremes). This is unusually high. It suggests your largest gains far outweigh your largest losses. Likely due to successful trend trades or tight stops during range periods. |
| 📌Max Drawdown | -0.81% | Exceptional. Shows nearly no major pullback despite aggressive upside. |
| 📌Daily VaR | -0.53% | Low. Suggests small max potential daily loss under typical volatility. |
🗓️ Daily Balance Trend (May 22–30, 2025) –
💵Account Starting Balance: $150,000
| Date | Balance | Daily Change |
|---|---|---|
| May 23 | $156,590.32 | +4.39% |
| May 24–25 | No change | Weekend |
| May 26 | $169,168.92 | +8.0% |
| May 27 | $167,797.16 | -0.8% |
| May 28 | $168,222.56 | +0.25% |
| May 29 | $170,040.48 | +1.1% |
| May 30 | $171,542.32 | +0.9% |
Consistent profit flow with only one minor drawdown day.
This reflects a disciplined process likely taking partial profits or rotating between setups without overstaying.
🧠 Insights
You are trading with elite-level risk control. The metrics suggest the system is not only profitable but also extremely efficient.
Even with occasional volatility spikes, losses are contained—this shows that SwingArm’s structure (zones + pressure + timeframes) is absorbing market noise effectively.
Your capital preservation and risk-to-reward profile are exceptionally balanced. A drawdown under 1% is extremely rare at this level of return.
Growth is accelerating, and if this stability continues, you’ll have a clear case study to present for public or institutional credibility.
🧾 Conclusion
The strategy is delivering institutional-level results with:
Outstanding risk/reward control
Extremely low drawdowns
Tactical pressure-based trade sequencing
Highly consistent performance (rare in volatile futures environments)
Chart Setups Behind the Performance Metrics
🕒 Chart Context – 15-Min Timeframe
The chart below highlights the significance of the weekly SwingArm and its Fibonacci levels, specifically the 88.6 and 78.6 retracements. These levels played a crucial role in guiding trade setups during the performance metrics period starting May 22.
Note how each yellow arrow points to key reactions off these levels—whether acting as resistance or support—demonstrating how price behavior aligns consistently with these zones. When these weekly fibs are combined with high-pressure SwingArms from the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, the system gains a powerful structural edge.
For execution, adding low timeframes such as the 1-min or 30-second chart with candle pressure and trend confirmation allows for precise entries and well-defined risk/reward setups. This alignment across timeframes is a cornerstone of the SwingArm methodology and one of the reasons behind the consistency shown in the reviewed metrics.
🕒 Enhanced Context – 15-Min Chart with 4H High Pressure Zones
This updated 15-minute chart provides deeper clarity by overlaying the 4-hour High Pressure SwingArm zones onto the weekly Fibonacci structure. The response to the weekly Fib 88.6 and 78.6 levels is now unmistakably contextualized within the broader bullish high pressure structure from the 4H timeframe.
Notice the sharp bullish reaction after price tapped into the 4H Fib 78.6, which aligned perfectly with the bottom of the weekly SwingArm range. These confluences are what power high-probability trade setups in the SwingArm system.
The reaction wasn’t random—it was an anticipated move based on nested, high-pressure support across multiple timeframes. This is a textbook example of why SwingArm setups, when layered properly, provide consistent and confident trade decision-making.
Understanding Confluence and Timing: The Foundation of Consistent Execution
Many traders assume that profitable trades only come from perfect alignment across major timeframes—like the 2H, 4H, and Weekly swingarms all pointing in the same direction. While that type of confluence is powerful when it occurs, it’s not the only kind that matters—and it certainly isn’t required for every opportunity.
Confluence comes in many forms:
Directional structure across multiple timeframes
Compression setups like high timeframe squeezes
Overlapping fib levels from multiple swingarms
Or simply, agreement in pressure between higher and lower timeframe zones
The key is locating the area of interest—the zone where price is most likely to react due to a combination of these factors. That’s your map.
But the true edge lies in how you enter.
Most losses traders suffer come not from bad setups, but from poorly timed entries—what I call “death by a thousand cuts.” A great level means nothing if your entry is emotionally driven or premature. That’s why entry timing is critical.
For me, the most effective way to spot momentum shifts is Candle Pressure. It’s visual, immediate, and reactive. I’ve shown examples of this throughout recent posts:
Heiken Ashi candles softening into bullish control
Hull-based candle flips confirming pressure changes
Fast cycling low timeframe swingarms exposing structure beneath the noise
There’s no single right answer. The goal is to build a method that lets you see pressure, act on it, and manage risk with precision.
Success is found in the blend of structure and timing—not perfection. Stay focused on the confluence, trust your chart, and let the pressure guide you.
